Stock Analysis

Should Weakness in Shin Zu Shing Co., Ltd.'s (TPE:3376) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

TWSE:3376
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With its stock down 11% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Shin Zu Shing (TPE:3376). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Shin Zu Shing's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Shin Zu Shing

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shin Zu Shing is:

10% = NT$1.6b ÷ NT$15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every NT$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated NT$0.10 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Shin Zu Shing's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

To start with, Shin Zu Shing's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.7%. Given the circumstances, we can't help but wonder why Shin Zu Shing saw little to no growth in the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

We then compared Shin Zu Shing's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 1.2% in the same period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
TSEC:3376 Past Earnings Growth January 18th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shin Zu Shing's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Shin Zu Shing Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 54% (meaning, the company retains only 46% of profits) for Shin Zu Shing suggests that the company's earnings growth was miniscule as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

Additionally, Shin Zu Shing has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Shin Zu Shing certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a high ROE, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This can be blamed on the fact that it reinvests only a small portion of its profits and pays out the rest as dividends. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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