Stock Analysis

We Think Trusval Technology (GTSM:6667) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TPEX:6667
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Trusval Technology Co., Ltd. (GTSM:6667) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Trusval Technology

How Much Debt Does Trusval Technology Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Trusval Technology had debt of NT$659.8m, up from NT$559.7m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$194.9m, its net debt is less, at about NT$464.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:6667 Debt to Equity History January 1st 2021

A Look At Trusval Technology's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Trusval Technology had liabilities of NT$531.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$455.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$194.9m and NT$691.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$100.5m.

Since publicly traded Trusval Technology shares are worth a total of NT$2.63b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Trusval Technology has net debt to EBITDA of 4.3 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. But the high interest coverage of 7.7 suggests it can easily service that debt. Pleasingly, Trusval Technology is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 156% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Trusval Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Trusval Technology reported free cash flow worth 19% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Trusval Technology's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its net debt to EBITDA has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Trusval Technology can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Trusval Technology is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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