Stock Analysis

Buima Group (GTSM:5543) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Buima Group Inc. (GTSM:5543) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Buima Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Buima Group had NT$681.3m of debt, an increase on NT$137.1m, over one year. However, it also had NT$293.3m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$388.0m.

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GTSM:5543 Debt to Equity History April 28th 2021

A Look At Buima Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Buima Group had liabilities of NT$875.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$164.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$293.3m and NT$453.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$292.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Buima Group has a market capitalization of NT$2.29b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Buima Group's debt is 4.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.9 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The bad news is that Buima Group saw its EBIT decline by 15% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Buima Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Buima Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Mulling over Buima Group's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Buima Group's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Buima Group (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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