Stock Analysis

Is Topower (GTSM:3226) A Risky Investment?

TPEX:3226
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Topower Co., Ltd. (GTSM:3226) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Topower

How Much Debt Does Topower Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Topower had debt of NT$170.9m, up from none in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds NT$832.7m in cash, so it actually has NT$661.8m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:3226 Debt to Equity History April 12th 2021

How Strong Is Topower's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Topower had liabilities of NT$857.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$35.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$832.7m as well as receivables valued at NT$604.8m due within 12 months. So it can boast NT$544.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Topower could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Topower has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

On top of that, Topower grew its EBIT by 31% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Topower's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Topower has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Topower recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Topower has net cash of NT$661.8m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 31% over the last year. So we don't think Topower's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Topower .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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