Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION CO., Ltd. (TWSE:4566) As Its Stock Soars 27%

TWSE:4566
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GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION CO., Ltd. (TWSE:4566) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 85%.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in Taiwan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 23x, you may consider GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION as a stock to potentially avoid with its 30.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

For example, consider that GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:4566 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 21%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 154% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for GLOBAL TEK FABRICATION (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.