If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. On that note, looking into Yulon Nissan Motor (TPE:2227), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Yulon Nissan Motor is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.03 = NT$689m ÷ (NT$28b - NT$4.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, Yulon Nissan Motor has an ROCE of 3.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Auto industry average of 5.2%.
Check out our latest analysis for Yulon Nissan Motor
In the above chart we have measured Yulon Nissan Motor's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Yulon Nissan Motor.
What Can We Tell From Yulon Nissan Motor's ROCE Trend?
In terms of Yulon Nissan Motor's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, the ROCE was 4.8% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Yulon Nissan Motor to turn into a multi-bagger.
Our Take On Yulon Nissan Motor's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 31% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
Yulon Nissan Motor does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored...
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:2227
Yulon Nissan Motor
Engages in the research, design, development, and sale of vehicles in Taiwan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.