Stock Analysis

Does Kenda Rubber Industrial (TPE:2106) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TWSE:2106
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Kenda Rubber Industrial Co. Ltd. (TPE:2106) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Kenda Rubber Industrial

What Is Kenda Rubber Industrial's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kenda Rubber Industrial had NT$17.2b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$10.4b, its net debt is less, at about NT$6.72b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2106 Debt to Equity History February 4th 2021

How Strong Is Kenda Rubber Industrial's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kenda Rubber Industrial had liabilities of NT$10.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$13.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$10.4b in cash and NT$4.16b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$8.87b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Kenda Rubber Industrial has a market capitalization of NT$30.3b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Kenda Rubber Industrial's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.1 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 25.9 times, makes us even more comfortable. Importantly, Kenda Rubber Industrial grew its EBIT by 61% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kenda Rubber Industrial's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Kenda Rubber Industrial burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Kenda Rubber Industrial's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Kenda Rubber Industrial is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Kenda Rubber Industrial (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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