Stock Analysis

Here's Why Telekom Slovenije d.d (LJSE:TLSG) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

LJSE:TLSG
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Telekom Slovenije, d.d. (LJSE:TLSG) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Telekom Slovenije d.d

What Is Telekom Slovenije d.d's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Telekom Slovenije d.d had debt of €338.5m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from €391.8m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €13.3m, its net debt is less, at about €325.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LJSE:TLSG Debt to Equity History December 15th 2020

How Healthy Is Telekom Slovenije d.d's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Telekom Slovenije d.d had liabilities of €318.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of €310.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €13.3m in cash and €166.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €448.7m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €284.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Telekom Slovenije d.d would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Telekom Slovenije d.d's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.0 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 3.7 times last year. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. Importantly, Telekom Slovenije d.d grew its EBIT by 49% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Telekom Slovenije d.d's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Telekom Slovenije d.d actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

While Telekom Slovenije d.d's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. We think that Telekom Slovenije d.d's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Telekom Slovenije d.d is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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