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Has Petrol d.d.'s (LJSE:PETG) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?
Petrol d.d (LJSE:PETG) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 29% over the last three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Petrol d.d's ROE today.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Petrol d.d is:
15% = €146m ÷ €977m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every €1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of €0.15.
See our latest analysis for Petrol d.d
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.
Petrol d.d's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE
To begin with, Petrol d.d seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 12%. This probably laid the ground for Petrol d.d's moderate 7.6% net income growth seen over the past five years.
We then compared Petrol d.d's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 13% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for PETG? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
Is Petrol d.d Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
While Petrol d.d has a three-year median payout ratio of 68% (which means it retains 32% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.
Moreover, Petrol d.d is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 61%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 17%.
Conclusion
Overall, we feel that Petrol d.d certainly does have some positive factors to consider. The company has grown its earnings moderately as previously discussed. Still, the high ROE could have been even more beneficial to investors had the company been reinvesting more of its profits. As highlighted earlier, the current reinvestment rate appears to be quite low. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Petrol d.d's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LJSE:PETG
Petrol d.d
Through its subsidiaries, sells petroleum and other energy products, merchandise and services, and energy and solutions in Slovenia, Croatia, Austria, Bosnia, Herzegovina, Serbia, Montenegro, Romania, Macedonia, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.
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