Stock Analysis

UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d (LJSE:UKIG) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

LJSE:UKIG
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d. (LJSE:UKIG) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d

How Much Debt Does UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d had €109.3m in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has €18.3m in cash leading to net debt of about €91.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LJSE:UKIG Debt to Equity History October 5th 2023

A Look At UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d had liabilities of €78.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €113.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €18.3m in cash and €55.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €118.1m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €29.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.5) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.9, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Another concern for investors might be that UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d's EBIT fell 17% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 78% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 5 warning signs with UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d (at least 2 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether UNIOR Kovaska industrija d.d is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.