The board of China Everbright Water Limited (SGX:U9E) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 24th of May, with investors receiving HK$0.0099 per share. This takes the dividend yield to 9.6%, which shareholders will be pleased with.
See our latest analysis for China Everbright Water
China Everbright Water's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, China Everbright Water's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 10.2% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 5.7%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
China Everbright Water's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Looking back, China Everbright Water's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. Since 2016, the dividend has gone from HK$0.0187 total annually to HK$0.124. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 27% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see that China Everbright Water has been growing its earnings per share at 10% a year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.
In Summary
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think China Everbright Water's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for China Everbright Water you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored. Is China Everbright Water not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:U9E
China Everbright Water
An investment holding company, engages in the water environment management business in Mainland China and Germany.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.