Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Sembcorp Industries Ltd (SGX:U96) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Sembcorp Industries
How Much Debt Does Sembcorp Industries Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sembcorp Industries had S$7.25b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has S$871.0m in cash leading to net debt of about S$6.38b.
How Healthy Is Sembcorp Industries' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Sembcorp Industries had liabilities of S$3.48b due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$7.15b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of S$871.0m and S$1.51b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total S$8.24b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of S$9.07b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Sembcorp Industries' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Sembcorp Industries has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.4 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Looking on the bright side, Sembcorp Industries boosted its EBIT by a silky 34% in the last year. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sembcorp Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sembcorp Industries actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Sembcorp Industries's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. On the other hand, its net debt to EBITDA makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. We would also note that Integrated Utilities industry companies like Sembcorp Industries commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Sembcorp Industries is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Sembcorp Industries is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:U96
Sembcorp Industries
An investment holding company, engages in the production and supply of utilities services, and terminalling and storage of petroleum products and chemicals in Singapore, the United Kingdom, China, India, rest of Asia, the Middle East, and internationally.
Undervalued with acceptable track record.