Stock Analysis

Is ComfortDelGro (SGX:C52) A Risky Investment?

SGX:C52
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited (SGX:C52) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for ComfortDelGro

How Much Debt Does ComfortDelGro Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that ComfortDelGro had S$311.9m of debt in June 2023, down from S$327.1m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has S$877.0m in cash, leading to a S$565.1m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:C52 Debt to Equity History November 30th 2023

How Strong Is ComfortDelGro's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ComfortDelGro had liabilities of S$1.00b due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$680.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of S$877.0m and S$561.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total S$245.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, ComfortDelGro has a market capitalization of S$2.79b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, ComfortDelGro also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

On top of that, ComfortDelGro grew its EBIT by 34% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ComfortDelGro's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. ComfortDelGro may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, ComfortDelGro actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that ComfortDelGro has S$565.1m in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of S$216m, being 183% of its EBIT. So we don't think ComfortDelGro's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with ComfortDelGro .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ComfortDelGro is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SGX:C52

ComfortDelGro

ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides public transportation services in Singapore, the United Kingdom, Australia, China, Malaysia, Ireland, New Zealand, and Vietnam.

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