Stock Analysis

AEM Holdings Ltd. (SGX:AWX) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

There wouldn't be many who think AEM Holdings Ltd.'s (SGX:AWX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Semiconductor industry in Singapore is similar at about 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for AEM Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:AWX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
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What Does AEM Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

AEM Holdings has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the industry. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AEM Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For AEM Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AEM Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 44% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 6.8% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 31% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that AEM Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On AEM Holdings' P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of AEM Holdings' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for AEM Holdings with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SGX:AWX

AEM Holdings

Provides semiconductor and electronics test solutions worldwide.

Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

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