Stock Analysis

Does China Yuanbang Property Holdings (SGX:BCD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SGX:BCD
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, China Yuanbang Property Holdings Limited (SGX:BCD) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for China Yuanbang Property Holdings

What Is China Yuanbang Property Holdings's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Yuanbang Property Holdings had CN¥713.1m in debt in June 2021; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥81.5m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥631.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:BCD Debt to Equity History October 28th 2021

How Healthy Is China Yuanbang Property Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Yuanbang Property Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.49b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥431.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥81.5m and CN¥95.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.74b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥85.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, China Yuanbang Property Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

China Yuanbang Property Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 7.6 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 8.9 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Importantly, China Yuanbang Property Holdings's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 51% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is China Yuanbang Property Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Yuanbang Property Holdings reported free cash flow worth 5.8% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

On the face of it, China Yuanbang Property Holdings's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think China Yuanbang Property Holdings has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with China Yuanbang Property Holdings (including 2 which are a bit concerning) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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