Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That CapitaLand Investment (SGX:9CI) Is Using Debt Extensively

SGX:9CI
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that CapitaLand Investment Limited (SGX:9CI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for CapitaLand Investment

How Much Debt Does CapitaLand Investment Carry?

As you can see below, CapitaLand Investment had S$11.9b of debt at June 2024, down from S$12.7b a year prior. On the flip side, it has S$2.04b in cash leading to net debt of about S$9.81b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:9CI Debt to Equity History September 19th 2024

How Strong Is CapitaLand Investment's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, CapitaLand Investment had liabilities of S$4.17b due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$11.1b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of S$2.04b and S$874.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$12.4b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of S$15.2b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on CapitaLand Investment's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.8 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.9 hit our confidence in CapitaLand Investment like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. More concerning, CapitaLand Investment saw its EBIT drop by 5.8% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CapitaLand Investment can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, CapitaLand Investment recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 80% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

On the face of it, CapitaLand Investment's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that CapitaLand Investment's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for CapitaLand Investment (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.