Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying China Sunsine Chemical Holdings Ltd. (SGX:CH8)?

SGX:QES
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While China Sunsine Chemical Holdings Ltd. (SGX:CH8) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it led the SGX gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a small cap stock, which tends to lack high analyst coverage, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s examine China Sunsine Chemical Holdings’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for China Sunsine Chemical Holdings

What's the opportunity in China Sunsine Chemical Holdings?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 11.3x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 10.4x, which means if you buy China Sunsine Chemical Holdings today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe that China Sunsine Chemical Holdings should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since China Sunsine Chemical Holdings’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will China Sunsine Chemical Holdings generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SGX:CH8 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 16th 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 54% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for China Sunsine Chemical Holdings. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? CH8’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at CH8? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CH8, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for CH8, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for China Sunsine Chemical Holdings and you'll want to know about these.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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