Stock Analysis

We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Riverstone Holdings Limited (SGX:AP4) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

SGX:AP4
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Readers hoping to buy Riverstone Holdings Limited (SGX:AP4) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Riverstone Holdings' shares before the 15th of March to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 5th of April.

The company's next dividend payment will be RM00.125 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of RM0.28 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that Riverstone Holdings has a trailing yield of 9.2% on the current share price of S$0.695. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! As a result, readers should always check whether Riverstone Holdings has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

Check out our latest analysis for Riverstone Holdings

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Riverstone Holdings distributed an unsustainably high 118% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without extenuating circumstances, we'd consider the dividend at risk of a cut. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Riverstone Holdings paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 150%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Riverstone Holdings does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Riverstone Holdings's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SGX:AP4 Historic Dividend March 11th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Fortunately for readers, Riverstone Holdings's earnings per share have been growing at 11% a year for the past five years. It's great to see earnings per share growing rapidly, but we're disturbed to see the company paid out 118% of its earnings last year. We're wary of fast-growing companies flaming out by over-committing themselves financially, and consider this a yellow flag.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. In the past 10 years, Riverstone Holdings has increased its dividend at approximately 31% a year on average. Both per-share earnings and dividends have both been growing rapidly in recent times, which is great to see.

The Bottom Line

Has Riverstone Holdings got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? While it's nice to see earnings per share growing, we're curious about how Riverstone Holdings intends to continue growing, or maintain the dividend in a downturn given that it's paying out such a high percentage of its earnings and cashflow. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Riverstone Holdings.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Riverstone Holdings. Our analysis shows 1 warning sign for Riverstone Holdings and you should be aware of this before buying any shares.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Riverstone Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.