Stock Analysis

Here's Why Vicplas International (SGX:569) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SGX:569
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Vicplas International Ltd (SGX:569) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Vicplas International

How Much Debt Does Vicplas International Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Vicplas International had debt of S$10.5m at the end of July 2023, a reduction from S$19.3m over a year. However, it does have S$9.19m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about S$1.32m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:569 Debt to Equity History December 15th 2023

A Look At Vicplas International's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Vicplas International had liabilities of S$27.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$13.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$9.19m as well as receivables valued at S$39.9m due within 12 months. So it actually has S$8.61m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Vicplas International could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Vicplas International has very modest net debt, giving rise to a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.098. And EBIT easily covered the interest expense 7.2 times over, lending force to that view. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Vicplas International if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 30% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Vicplas International will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Vicplas International's free cash flow amounted to 43% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Vicplas International's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its net debt to EBITDA. We would also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like Vicplas International commonly do use debt without problems. Considering this range of data points, we think Vicplas International is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Vicplas International (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.