Fraser and Neave, Limited's (SGX:F99) investors are due to receive a payment of S$0.035 per share on 14th of February. This means that the annual payment will be 3.4% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Fraser and Neave
Fraser and Neave's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Based on the last payment, Fraser and Neave was quite comfortably earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 5.3% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 50% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2011, the first annual payment was S$0.17, compared to the most recent full-year payment of S$0.05. This works out to a decline of approximately 71% over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Fraser and Neave Could Grow Its Dividend
Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. Fraser and Neave has impressed us by growing EPS at 5.3% per year over the past five years. Earnings are on the uptrend, and it is only paying a small portion of those earnings to shareholders.
Our Thoughts On Fraser and Neave's Dividend
Overall, a consistent dividend is a good thing, and we think that Fraser and Neave has the ability to continue this into the future. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Fraser and Neave you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SGX:F99
Fraser and Neave
Engages in the food and beverage, and publishing and printing businesses in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and internationally.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.