Stock Analysis

Should You Be Adding Geo Energy Resources (SGX:RE4) To Your Watchlist Today?

SGX:RE4
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Geo Energy Resources (SGX:RE4). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

See our latest analysis for Geo Energy Resources

How Fast Is Geo Energy Resources Growing?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). It's no surprise, then, that I like to invest in companies with EPS growth. As a tree reaches steadily for the sky, Geo Energy Resources's EPS has grown 35% each year, compound, over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away winners.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. Geo Energy Resources shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from -1.4% to 18%, and revenue is growing. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SGX:RE4 Earnings and Revenue History September 29th 2021

Since Geo Energy Resources is no giant, with a market capitalization of S$378m, so you should definitely check its cash and debt before getting too excited about its prospects.

Are Geo Energy Resources Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. Because oftentimes, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

Like a sturdy phalanx Geo Energy Resources insiders have stood united by refusing to sell shares over the last year. But the bigger deal is that the , Theare Haw Heah, paid US$93k to buy shares at an average price of US$0.19.

And the insider buying isn't the only sign of alignment between shareholders and the board, since Geo Energy Resources insiders own more than a third of the company. Actually, with 46% of the company to their names, insiders are profoundly invested in the business. I'm reassured by this kind of alignment, as it suggests the business will be run for the benefit of shareholders. In terms of absolute value, insiders have US$174m invested in the business, using the current share price. That's nothing to sneeze at!

Should You Add Geo Energy Resources To Your Watchlist?

You can't deny that Geo Energy Resources has grown its earnings per share at a very impressive rate. That's attractive. The cranberry sauce on the turkey is that insiders own a bunch of shares, and one has been buying more. So it's fair to say I think this stock may well deserve a spot on your watchlist. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Geo Energy Resources (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Geo Energy Resources, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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