These 4 Measures Indicate That Southern Archipelago (SGX:A33) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Southern Archipelago Ltd. (SGX:A33) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Southern Archipelago Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2025, Southern Archipelago had S$8.30m of debt, up from S$5.45m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had S$467.0k in cash, and so its net debt is S$7.83m.
How Strong Is Southern Archipelago's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Southern Archipelago had liabilities of S$5.59m due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$4.36m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had S$467.0k in cash and S$859.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total S$8.62m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Southern Archipelago is worth S$27.6m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
View our latest analysis for Southern Archipelago
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 0.53 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.7 hit our confidence in Southern Archipelago like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Southern Archipelago saw its EBIT tank 59% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Southern Archipelago will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last two years, Southern Archipelago saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Southern Archipelago's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Southern Archipelago has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Southern Archipelago is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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