Stock Analysis

Nordic Group Limited (SGX:MR7) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

With its stock down 7.7% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Nordic Group (SGX:MR7). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Nordic Group's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Nordic Group

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How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nordic Group is:

6.2% = S$5.5m ÷ S$89m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every SGD1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of SGD0.06.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Nordic Group's Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE

At first glance, Nordic Group's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 3.5%, is definitely interesting. But seeing Nordic Group's five year net income decline of 14% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

As a next step, we compared Nordic Group's performance with the industry and discovered the industry has shrunk at a rate of 24% in the same period meaning that the company has been shrinking its earnings at a rate lower than the industry. This does appease the negative sentiment around the company to a certain extent.

past-earnings-growth
SGX:MR7 Past Earnings Growth February 23rd 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Nordic Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Nordic Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 39% (or a retention ratio of 61%) which is pretty normal, Nordic Group's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

In addition, Nordic Group has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Nordic Group certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 5 risks we have identified for Nordic Group visit our risks dashboard for free.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SGX:MR7

Nordic Group

Provides solutions in the areas of system integration, maintenance, repair, overhaul, trading, precision engineering, scaffolding, insulation, petrochemical and environmental engineering, cleanroom, air and water engineering, and engineering and construction services.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.

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