Stock Analysis

Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX:C07) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SGX:C07
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited (SGX:C07) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Jardine Cycle & Carriage

What Is Jardine Cycle & Carriage's Debt?

As you can see below, Jardine Cycle & Carriage had US$6.56b of debt at December 2021, down from US$7.13b a year prior. However, it does have US$4.26b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$2.30b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:C07 Debt to Equity History June 22nd 2022

How Healthy Is Jardine Cycle & Carriage's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jardine Cycle & Carriage had liabilities of US$7.58b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.08b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$4.26b in cash and US$2.86b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.54b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$8.51b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Jardine Cycle & Carriage has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.91. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 101 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that Jardine Cycle & Carriage grew its EBIT by 12% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jardine Cycle & Carriage's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Jardine Cycle & Carriage actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

The good news is that Jardine Cycle & Carriage's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Jardine Cycle & Carriage takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Jardine Cycle & Carriage .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SGX:C07

Jardine Cycle & Carriage

An investment holding company, engages in the financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction and energy, agribusiness, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.