Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding HG Metal Manufacturing Limited (SGX:BTG)

SGX:BTG
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There wouldn't be many who think HG Metal Manufacturing Limited's (SGX:BTG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Trade Distributors industry in Singapore is very similar. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for HG Metal Manufacturing

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:BTG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024

What Does HG Metal Manufacturing's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, HG Metal Manufacturing's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on HG Metal Manufacturing's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For HG Metal Manufacturing?

HG Metal Manufacturing's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.9%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 63% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 4.3% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that HG Metal Manufacturing is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We didn't quite envision HG Metal Manufacturing's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for HG Metal Manufacturing that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HG Metal Manufacturing is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.