Stock Analysis

Federal International (2000) Ltd's (SGX:BDU) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

SGX:BDU
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Federal International (2000) Ltd (SGX:BDU) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Federal International (2000)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Singapore's Trade Distributors industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Federal International (2000)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:BDU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024

How Federal International (2000) Has Been Performing

For instance, Federal International (2000)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Federal International (2000) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Federal International (2000) would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 63% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 26% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.3% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Federal International (2000)'s P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Federal International (2000)'s P/S?

Federal International (2000)'s plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at Federal International (2000) revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Federal International (2000) has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Federal International (2000), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.