Stock Analysis

Tai Sin Electric's (SGX:500) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

SGX:500
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Tai Sin Electric Limited (SGX:500) will increase its dividend on the 15th of November to SGD0.016, which is 6.7% higher than last year's payment from the same period of SGD0.015. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 5.9%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Tai Sin Electric

Tai Sin Electric's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, Tai Sin Electric was earning enough to cover the dividend, but it wasn't generating any free cash flows. Since a dividend means the company is paying out cash to investors, this could prove to be a problem in the future.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 2.8% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 47%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
SGX:500 Historic Dividend August 29th 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was SGD0.016 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was SGD0.0235. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.9% per annum over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings has been rising at 2.8% per annum over the last five years, which admittedly is a bit slow. Growth of 2.8% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This isn't bad in itself, but unless earnings growth pick up we wouldn't expect dividends to grow either.

Our Thoughts On Tai Sin Electric's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Tai Sin Electric's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Tai Sin Electric that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SGX:500

Tai Sin Electric

Manufactures and deals in cable and wire products in Singapore, Malaysia, Brunei, Vietnam, Indonesia, Myanmar, Cambodia, Thailand, and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.

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