Stock Analysis

NOTE (STO:NOTE) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

OM:NOTE
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that NOTE AB (publ) (STO:NOTE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is NOTE's Debt?

As you can see below, NOTE had kr24.8m of debt at December 2020, down from kr181.1m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has kr67.7m in cash, leading to a kr42.9m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:NOTE Debt to Equity History March 29th 2021

A Look At NOTE's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that NOTE had liabilities of kr431.3m due within a year, and liabilities of kr110.3m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr67.7m as well as receivables valued at kr356.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr117.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given NOTE has a market capitalization of kr2.21b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, NOTE also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Also good is that NOTE grew its EBIT at 12% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since NOTE will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While NOTE has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, NOTE produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that NOTE has kr42.9m in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of kr172m, being 70% of its EBIT. So is NOTE's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that NOTE is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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