Stock Analysis

Is Qlosr Group (STO:QLOSR B) Using Too Much Debt?

OM:QLOSR B
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Qlosr Group AB (publ) (STO:QLOSR B) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Qlosr Group

What Is Qlosr Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Qlosr Group had kr66.2m of debt, an increase on kr59.2m, over one year. On the flip side, it has kr38.4m in cash leading to net debt of about kr27.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:QLOSR B Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024

A Look At Qlosr Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Qlosr Group had liabilities of kr253.0m due within a year, and liabilities of kr133.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr38.4m in cash and kr54.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr293.7m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the kr93.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Qlosr Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Qlosr Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Qlosr Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 18%, to kr566m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Qlosr Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable kr84m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost kr78m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Qlosr Group (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.