Stock Analysis

Analysts Have Just Cut Their Addnode Group AB (publ) (STO:ANOD B) Revenue Estimates By 11%

OM:ANOD B
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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Addnode Group AB (publ) (STO:ANOD B), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Revenue estimates were cut sharply as the analysts signalled a weaker outlook - perhaps a sign that investors should temper their expectations as well.

After the downgrade, the consensus from Addnode Group's three analysts is for revenues of kr7.5b in 2024, which would reflect an uneasy 9.9% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Per-share earnings are expected to accumulate 8.4% to kr2.56. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of kr8.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr3.24 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Addnode Group's prospects, administering a substantial drop in revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

Check out our latest analysis for Addnode Group

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:ANOD B Earnings and Revenue Growth July 16th 2024

Analysts made no major changes to their price target of kr123, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Addnode Group's valuation.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 19% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 20% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 7.5% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Addnode Group's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. Often, one downgrade can set off a daisy-chain of cuts, especially if an industry is in decline. So we wouldn't be surprised if the market became a lot more cautious on Addnode Group after today.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have estimates - from multiple Addnode Group analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies backed by insiders.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.