Stock Analysis

Lyko Group AB (publ)'s (STO:LYKO A) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 27% Slump

OM:LYKO A
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Lyko Group AB (publ) (STO:LYKO A) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Sweden have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may still consider Lyko Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 68.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Lyko Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Lyko Group

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OM:LYKO A Price Based on Past Earnings March 3rd 2022
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lyko Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Lyko Group's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Lyko Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 319%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 49% per annum as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 16% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Lyko Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Lyko Group's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Lyko Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Lyko Group that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Lyko Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.