Bilia AB (publ) (STO:BILI A) has announced that it will pay a dividend of SEK1.65 per share on the 11th of July. However, the dividend yield of 4.9% still remains in a typical range for the industry.
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Bilia's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Before making this announcement, Bilia was paying out quite a large proportion of both earnings and cash flow, with the dividend being 519% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 54.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 62%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from SEK2.25 total annually to SEK6.60. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings has been rising at 4.3% per annum over the last five years, which admittedly is a bit slow. Bilia's earnings per share has barely grown, which is not ideal - perhaps this is why the company pays out the majority of its earnings to shareholders. This isn't the end of the world, but for investors looking for strong dividend growth they may want to look elsewhere.
In Summary
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. While Bilia is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Bilia that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About OM:BILI A
Bilia
Operates as a full-service supplier for car ownership in Sweden, Norway, Luxemburg, and Belgium.
High growth potential, good value and pays a dividend.