Stock Analysis

We Think Hufvudstaden's (STO:HUFV A) Statutory Profit Might Understate Its Earnings Potential

OM:HUFV A
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Hufvudstaden (STO:HUFV A).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Hufvudstaden made a profit of kr98.9m on revenue of kr1.88b. As you can see in the chart below, its profit has declined over the last three years, even though its revenue has increased.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
OM:HUFV A Earnings and Revenue History January 21st 2021

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. This article will focus on the impact unusual items have had on Hufvudstaden's statutory earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Importantly, our data indicates that Hufvudstaden's profit was reduced by kr1.0b, due to unusual items, over the last year. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Hufvudstaden took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to September 2020. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Hufvudstaden's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant unusual expense will make Hufvudstaden's statutory profit lower than it would otherwise have been. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Hufvudstaden's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hufvudstaden you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Hufvudstaden's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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