Stock Analysis

Here's Why Brinova Fastigheter (STO:BRIN B) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

OM:BRIN B
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Brinova Fastigheter AB (publ) (STO:BRIN B) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Brinova Fastigheter

What Is Brinova Fastigheter's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 Brinova Fastigheter had debt of kr3.87b, up from kr2.74b in one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:BRIN B Debt to Equity History May 20th 2021

A Look At Brinova Fastigheter's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Brinova Fastigheter had liabilities of kr970.4m due within a year, and liabilities of kr3.30b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr34.3m in cash and kr33.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr4.20b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of kr2.93b, we think shareholders really should watch Brinova Fastigheter's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 2.3 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 20.3 hit our confidence in Brinova Fastigheter like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, one redeeming factor is that Brinova Fastigheter grew its EBIT at 15% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Brinova Fastigheter will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Brinova Fastigheter recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Brinova Fastigheter's level of total liabilities and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Brinova Fastigheter's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Brinova Fastigheter has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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