When Should You Buy AB Sagax (publ) (STO:SAGA A)?

AB Sagax (publ) (STO:SAGA A), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the OM. Shareholders may appreciate the recent price jump, but the company still has a way to go before reaching its yearly highs again. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine AB Sagax’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for AB Sagax

What's The Opportunity In AB Sagax?

The stock is currently trading at kr231 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 25% compared to our intrinsic value of SEK184.70. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that AB Sagax’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from AB Sagax?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of AB Sagax, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 4.7%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in SAGA A’s future outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe SAGA A should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SAGA A for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that AB Sagax has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

If you are no longer interested in AB Sagax, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.