Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Fabege AB (publ) (STO:FABG) For Its Upcoming Dividend

OM:FABG
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Fabege AB (publ) (STO:FABG) is about to go ex-dividend in just 3 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Therefore, if you purchase Fabege's shares on or after the 3rd of October, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 9th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be kr00.45 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed kr1.80 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Fabege stock has a trailing yield of around 1.8% on the current share price of kr099.80. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Fabege's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Fabege

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Fabege reported a loss after tax last year, which means it's paying a dividend despite being unprofitable. While this might be a one-off event, this is unlikely to be sustainable in the long term. Given that the company reported a loss last year, we now need to see if it generated enough free cash flow to fund the dividend. If Fabege didn't generate enough cash to pay the dividend, then it must have either paid from cash in the bank or by borrowing money, neither of which is sustainable in the long term. Dividends consumed 51% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
OM:FABG Historic Dividend September 29th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Fabege reported a loss last year, and the general trend suggests its earnings have also been declining in recent years, making us wonder if the dividend is at risk.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, Fabege has lifted its dividend by approximately 1.8% a year on average.

We update our analysis on Fabege every 24 hours, so you can always get the latest insights on its financial health, here.

Final Takeaway

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Fabege? We're a bit uncomfortable with it paying a dividend while being loss-making. However, we note that the dividend was covered by cash flow. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Fabege.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Fabege. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Fabege (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.