Stock Analysis

At kr414, Is It Time To Put Catena AB (publ) (STO:CATE) On Your Watch List?

OM:CATE
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Catena AB (publ) (STO:CATE), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the OM, rising to highs of kr493 and falling to the lows of kr414. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Catena's current trading price of kr414 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Catena’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Is Catena Still Cheap?

According to our valuation model, Catena seems to be fairly priced at around 18.30% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Catena today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is SEK349.55, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Catena’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

See our latest analysis for Catena

What kind of growth will Catena generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:CATE Earnings and Revenue Growth March 25th 2025

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Catena's earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? CATE’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CATE, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Catena as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example - Catena has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.