Stock Analysis

Fastighets AB Balder (STO:BALD B) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

OM:BALD B
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Fastighets AB Balder (publ) (STO:BALD B) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Fastighets AB Balder

How Much Debt Does Fastighets AB Balder Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Fastighets AB Balder had kr140.4b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had kr4.80b in cash, and so its net debt is kr135.6b.

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OM:BALD B Debt to Equity History June 3rd 2024

A Look At Fastighets AB Balder's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Fastighets AB Balder had liabilities of kr41.2b due within a year, and liabilities of kr125.2b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr4.80b as well as receivables valued at kr4.96b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr156.7b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr82.8b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Fastighets AB Balder would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.9 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 16.8 hit our confidence in Fastighets AB Balder like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, one redeeming factor is that Fastighets AB Balder grew its EBIT at 13% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fastighets AB Balder can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Fastighets AB Balder produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Fastighets AB Balder's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Fastighets AB Balder's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Fastighets AB Balder (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.