Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Fastighets AB Balder (publ) (STO:BALD B) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
What Is Fastighets AB Balder's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Fastighets AB Balder had kr138.9b of debt, at December 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has kr3.38b in cash leading to net debt of about kr135.5b.
How Strong Is Fastighets AB Balder's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Fastighets AB Balder had liabilities of kr17.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr149.0b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr3.38b as well as receivables valued at kr5.57b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr157.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the kr76.0b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Fastighets AB Balder would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
Check out our latest analysis for Fastighets AB Balder
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Fastighets AB Balder shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (15.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.1 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Fortunately, Fastighets AB Balder grew its EBIT by 8.9% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fastighets AB Balder can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Fastighets AB Balder produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
On the face of it, Fastighets AB Balder's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Fastighets AB Balder to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Fastighets AB Balder that you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:BALD B
Fastighets AB Balder
Develops, owns, and manages residential and commercial properties in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, and the United Kingdom.
Reasonable growth potential and slightly overvalued.
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