Stock Analysis

We Think Vicore Pharma Holding (STO:VICO) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

OM:VICO
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So, the natural question for Vicore Pharma Holding (STO:VICO) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for Vicore Pharma Holding

SWOT Analysis for Vicore Pharma Holding

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • VICO's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
Threat
  • Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.
  • Not expected to become profitable over the next 3 years.

Does Vicore Pharma Holding Have A Long Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. In March 2023, Vicore Pharma Holding had kr184m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through kr309m. That means it had a cash runway of around 7 months as of March 2023. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:VICO Debt to Equity History May 25th 2023

How Is Vicore Pharma Holding's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Because Vicore Pharma Holding isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. With the cash burn rate up 6.9% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Easily Can Vicore Pharma Holding Raise Cash?

While its cash burn is only increasing slightly, Vicore Pharma Holding shareholders should still consider the potential need for further cash, down the track. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Since it has a market capitalisation of kr1.7b, Vicore Pharma Holding's kr309m in cash burn equates to about 18% of its market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

Is Vicore Pharma Holding's Cash Burn A Worry?

On this analysis of Vicore Pharma Holding's cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its cash runway has us a bit worried. After looking at that range of measures, we think shareholders should be extremely attentive to how the company is using its cash, as the cash burn makes us uncomfortable. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 5 warning signs for Vicore Pharma Holding (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course Vicore Pharma Holding may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OM:VICO

Vicore Pharma Holding

A clinical-stage pharmaceutical company, develops therapies for the treatment of respiratory diseases.

Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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