We're Not Very Worried About ISR Immune System Regulation Holding's (STO:ISR) Cash Burn Rate
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.
So, the natural question for ISR Immune System Regulation Holding (STO:ISR) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
View our latest analysis for ISR Immune System Regulation Holding
Does ISR Immune System Regulation Holding Have A Long Cash Runway?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. ISR Immune System Regulation Holding has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the kr54m in cash it held at December 2021. Importantly, its cash burn was kr67m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 10 months from December 2021. Notably, one analyst forecasts that ISR Immune System Regulation Holding will break even (at a free cash flow level) in about 16 months. Essentially, that means the company will either reduce its cash burn, or else require more cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Is ISR Immune System Regulation Holding's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Because ISR Immune System Regulation Holding isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. With the cash burn rate up 34% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Easily Can ISR Immune System Regulation Holding Raise Cash?
Given its cash burn trajectory, ISR Immune System Regulation Holding shareholders should already be thinking about how easy it might be for it to raise further cash in the future. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
ISR Immune System Regulation Holding's cash burn of kr67m is about 16% of its kr416m market capitalisation. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.
Is ISR Immune System Regulation Holding's Cash Burn A Worry?
On this analysis of ISR Immune System Regulation Holding's cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its cash runway has us a bit worried. There's no doubt that shareholders can take a lot of heart from the fact that at least one analyst is forecasting it will reach breakeven before too long. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. On another note, ISR Immune System Regulation Holding has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:ISR
ISR Immune System Regulation Holding
ISR Immune System Regulation Holding AB (publ) develops immunostimulatory drugs to treat chronic infectious diseases and cancer in Sweden.
Slightly overvalued with weak fundamentals.