It's not a stretch to say that Nitro Games Oyj's (STO:NITRO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Entertainment industry in Sweden, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for Nitro Games Oyj
What Does Nitro Games Oyj's Recent Performance Look Like?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Nitro Games Oyj's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Nitro Games Oyj's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Nitro Games Oyj's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 17%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 47% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 4.9% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 19%, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Nitro Games Oyj's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What Does Nitro Games Oyj's P/S Mean For Investors?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
While Nitro Games Oyj's P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Nitro Games Oyj that you need to be mindful of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Nitro Games Oyj, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:NITRO
Nitro Games Oyj
Develops and publishes mobile games in the European Union, North America, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.
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