Stock Analysis

Slammed 46% Goodbye Kansas Group AB (publ) (STO:GBK) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

OM:GBK
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Goodbye Kansas Group AB (publ) (STO:GBK) share price has dived 46% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 99% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, it would be understandable if you think Goodbye Kansas Group is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.4x, considering almost half the companies in Sweden's Entertainment industry have P/S ratios above 0.9x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Goodbye Kansas Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:GBK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2023

What Does Goodbye Kansas Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Goodbye Kansas Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Goodbye Kansas Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Goodbye Kansas Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Goodbye Kansas Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.7%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 170% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 9.9% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Goodbye Kansas Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Goodbye Kansas Group's P/S

Goodbye Kansas Group's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We're very surprised to see Goodbye Kansas Group currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 6 warning signs with Goodbye Kansas Group (at least 5 which are a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.