Stock Analysis

Companies Like Fantasma Games (STO:FAGA) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth

OM:FAGA
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. By way of example, Fantasma Games (STO:FAGA) has seen its share price rise 157% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So notwithstanding the buoyant share price, we think it's well worth asking whether Fantasma Games' cash burn is too risky. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for Fantasma Games

When Might Fantasma Games Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Fantasma Games last reported its balance sheet in September 2022, it had zero debt and cash worth kr7.7m. Importantly, its cash burn was kr9.2m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from September 2022 it had roughly 10 months of cash runway. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. We should note, however, that if we extrapolate recent trends in its cash burn, then its cash runway would get a lot longer. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:FAGA Debt to Equity History February 14th 2023

How Well Is Fantasma Games Growing?

At first glance it's a bit worrying to see that Fantasma Games actually boosted its cash burn by 8.5%, year on year. On a more positive note, the operating revenue improved by 153% over the period, offering an indication that the expenditure may well be worthwhile. If revenue is maintained once spending on growth decreases, that could well pay off! We think it is growing rather well, upon reflection. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how Fantasma Games is building its business over time.

Can Fantasma Games Raise More Cash Easily?

Fantasma Games seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Fantasma Games' cash burn of kr9.2m is about 4.2% of its kr220m market capitalisation. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

How Risky Is Fantasma Games' Cash Burn Situation?

Even though its cash runway makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Fantasma Games' revenue growth was relatively promising. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. On another note, Fantasma Games has 6 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.