Stock Analysis

Embracer Group AB (publ) (STO:EMBRAC B) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 25% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

OM:EMBRAC B
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Embracer Group AB (publ) (STO:EMBRAC B) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 53% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in Sweden have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 22x, you may still consider Embracer Group as a highly attractive investment with its 7.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Embracer Group has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Embracer Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:EMBRAC B Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Embracer Group.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Embracer Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 206% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 316% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 2.8% each year over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 18% per annum.

With this information, we are not surprised that Embracer Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Embracer Group's P/E

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Embracer Group's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Embracer Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Embracer Group.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Embracer Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.