Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Bergs Timber AB (publ) (STO:BRG B) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Bergs Timber
How Much Debt Does Bergs Timber Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Bergs Timber had debt of kr204.0m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from kr755.0m over a year. But on the other hand it also has kr242.0m in cash, leading to a kr38.0m net cash position.
How Healthy Is Bergs Timber's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Bergs Timber had liabilities of kr248.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of kr192.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr242.0m and kr241.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has kr43.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Bergs Timber could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Bergs Timber boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Notably, Bergs Timber's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 159% on last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bergs Timber's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Bergs Timber may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Bergs Timber recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 99% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Bergs Timber has kr38.0m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 99% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in kr286m. So we don't think Bergs Timber's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Bergs Timber , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About OM:BRG B
Bergs Timber
Bergs Timber AB (publ) engages in development, production, and marketing of processed wood products in Sweden, Latvia, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.