The board of Midsona AB (publ) (STO:MSON B) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 29th of October, with investors receiving kr0.60 per share. This means that the annual payment will be 1.8% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Midsona
Midsona's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Midsona's dividend was only 56% of earnings, however it was paying out 281% of free cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 38.6%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 41% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Midsona Is Still Building Its Track Record
It is great to see that Midsona has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from kr0.50 in 2012 to the most recent annual payment of kr1.25. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 11% over that duration. Midsona has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. It's not great to see that Midsona's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 4.5% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Midsona's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While Midsona is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Midsona has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About OM:MSON B
Midsona
Develops, produces, and markets organic products, consumer health products, and health foods in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, Germany, France, and Spain.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.