Stock Analysis

We Think Clinical Laserthermia Systems (STO:CLS B) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

OM:CLS B
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So should Clinical Laserthermia Systems (STO:CLS B) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

Check out our latest analysis for Clinical Laserthermia Systems

When Might Clinical Laserthermia Systems Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at September 2021, Clinical Laserthermia Systems had cash of kr47m and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through kr63m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 9 months from September 2021. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

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OM:CLS B Debt to Equity History January 4th 2022

How Is Clinical Laserthermia Systems' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, Clinical Laserthermia Systems doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just kr862k in the last twelve months. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. With the cash burn rate up 18% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. Clinical Laserthermia Systems makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.

How Hard Would It Be For Clinical Laserthermia Systems To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Clinical Laserthermia Systems shareholders should already be thinking about how easy it might be for it to raise further cash in the future. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Clinical Laserthermia Systems has a market capitalisation of kr275m and burnt through kr63m last year, which is 23% of the company's market value. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.

How Risky Is Clinical Laserthermia Systems' Cash Burn Situation?

Clinical Laserthermia Systems is not in a great position when it comes to its cash burn situation. While its cash burn relative to its market cap wasn't too bad, its cash runway does leave us rather nervous. Summing up, we think the Clinical Laserthermia Systems' cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. On another note, Clinical Laserthermia Systems has 5 warning signs (and 3 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.