Stock Analysis

EQL Pharma AB (publ)'s (NGM:EQL) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

OM:EQL
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EQL Pharma AB (publ) (NGM:EQL) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 30% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, EQL Pharma may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.3x, since almost half of all companies in Sweden have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for EQL Pharma as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for EQL Pharma

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NGM:EQL Price Based on Past Earnings February 24th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on EQL Pharma will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as EQL Pharma's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 77% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 2,499% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why EQL Pharma is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.

What We Can Learn From EQL Pharma's P/E?

Shares in EQL Pharma have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that EQL Pharma maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for EQL Pharma with six simple checks.

You might be able to find a better investment than EQL Pharma. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EQL Pharma might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.