Stock Analysis

Nordnet AB (publ)'s (STO:SAVE) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

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OM:SAVE

It's not a stretch to say that Nordnet AB (publ)'s (STO:SAVE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Sweden, where the median P/E ratio is around 24x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Nordnet certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Nordnet

OM:SAVE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Nordnet.

Is There Some Growth For Nordnet?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Nordnet would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 62% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.6% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Nordnet's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Nordnet currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Nordnet (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Nordnet. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nordnet might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.